Canadian Election 2025: Liberals Hold Early Lead
As polling stations closed at 10 p.m. ET on April 28, Canadians awaited final tallies in the Canadian Election 2025. With 343 seats—five more than in 2021—up for grabs, the race for the 172-seat majority is intensifying. Elections Canada data at 10:11 p.m. EDT show the Liberal Party, led by Mark Carney, securing 19 seats and leading in 109 others (50.2% of the vote, 651,738 ballots). Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives have won 5 seats and lead in 84 (38.6%, 500,954 votes), while the Bloc Québécois and NDP trail with 16 and 2 leads, respectively.
Leader Standings and National Vote Share
- Liberals (Mark Carney): 128 seats (19 elected, 109 leading), 50.2% of vote
- Conservatives (Pierre Poilievre): 89 seats (5 elected, 84 leading), 38.6%
- Bloc Québécois (Yves-François Blanchet): 16 leads, 4.7%
- NDP (Jagmeet Singh): 2 leads, 4.4%
- Greens (Jonathan Pedneault): No leads, 1.0%
Carney’s Liberals maintain strong urban support, while Poilievre’s Conservatives dominate many rural ridings. Neither party has yet reached the 172-seat threshold, setting the stage for intense battles in remaining contests.
Voting Hours Across Canada
Elections Canada set uniform polling windows to accommodate Canada’s six time zones:
- Newfoundland & Atlantic: 8:30 a.m.–8:30 p.m.
- Eastern (including Ontario & Quebec): 9:30 a.m.–9:30 p.m.
- Central: 8:30 a.m.–8:30 p.m.
- Mountain (and Saskatchewan): 7:30 a.m.–7:30 p.m.
- Pacific: 7:00 a.m.–7:00 p.m.
High turnout was reported in major centres, with more than two million advanced ballots already tallied—an unprecedented level of early participation.
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Major Network Coverage and Analysis
Canada’s leading news outlets provided real-time updates and expert commentary:
- Global News: Dawna Friesen, Eric Sorensen, and David Akin led live coverage, with panels including Seamus O’Regan, Lisa Raitt, Nathan Cullen, and Gilles Duceppe. On-site reports by Mackenzie Gray, Touria Izri, Neetu Garcha, and Mike Armstrong brought insights from campaign headquarters.
- CBC News: Interactive maps and Canada election results live streams offered seat-by-seat breakdowns across 343 ridings.
- CTV News: Provided rolling updates, underscoring regional shifts and key battleground races.
Viewers could access coverage via television, online video players, YouTube, and mobile apps, ensuring Canadians stayed informed of the unfolding outcome.
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Key Races and Regional Trends
Several tight contests will determine whether the Liberals can secure a majority or if a coalition becomes necessary:
- Toronto and Montréal: Carney’s Liberals hold commanding leads in urban ridings, continuing a pattern of metropolitan support.
- Rural Ontario and the Prairies: Poilievre’s Conservatives maintain strong leads, reflecting rural voters’ alignment with his platform.
- Québec: The Bloc Québécois leads in many ridings outside Montréal, though Liberals show competitive gains in the city.
- Atlantic Canada: Mixed results as Liberals and Conservatives vie for traditional swing seats.
These regional dynamics will shape the final seat count once all ballots—and mail-in returns—are fully processed.
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Path to Majority and Government Formation
With 172 seats required for a majority, both leading parties face uphill climbs:
- Liberal Path: Hold all current leads and flip key suburban and rural ridings.
- Conservative Path: Close the gap in urban areas and capitalize on strong rural performance.
Should neither party reach a majority, coalition discussions or confidence-and-supply agreements could emerge, introducing a new chapter in Canada’s parliamentary landscape.
📢 For in-depth analysis of every riding, expert commentary on coalition scenarios, and full breakdowns of vote shares and regional trends, follow TNN’s real-time updates on the Canadian Election 2025. From coast to coast, we bring you the stories behind the numbers, the fate of the next prime minister, and what these historic results mean for Canada’s future. 🚨


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