Latest Insights into the Canadian Vote
Recent federal election polls in Canada are painting an intriguing picture for voters and political observers alike. According to the latest Ipsos survey conducted exclusively for Global News, the current campaign dynamics reveal that Mark Carney’s Liberals are steadily outpacing Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives. With affordability and the cost of living remaining at the forefront of voter concerns.
Poll Snapshot: A Shifting Landscape in Federal Election Polls Canada
The Ipsos poll—one of the most closely watched of the 2025 canada federal election polls—indicates that 44% of decided voters now lean toward the Liberals. Up two percentage points from a week earlier. The Conservatives, meanwhile, have reached 38% support. Also gaining two points. While the gap now stands at a six-point lead for the Liberals, this figure is just a slight dip from the seven-point advantage noted on March 18. These numbers, with a margin of error of 3.1 percentage points, reflect the latest trends in polls canada liberals conservatives. And capture the evolving sentiment among the electorate.
Leadership Ratings: Who’s Viewed as Best for Canada?
A closer look at leadership dynamics reveals that Mark Carney is widening his appeal compared to Pierre Poilievre. When asked about the qualities necessary for prime minister, 44% of voters chose Carney over Poilievre’s 33%. Carney is particularly favored for his perceived ability to handle tough economic times, manage U.S. relations, and present a mature, steady temperament—qualities that resonate strongly with Canadians concerned about both domestic issues and international challenges, especially in light of recent tensions with the United States.
In contrast, Poilievre’s support among voters remains marred by negative perceptions. He leads only on attributes that include being seen as having a hidden agenda and being in over his head—factors that may hinder his appeal as a unifying figure during these critical campaign moments.
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Key Issues: Affordability, U.S. Relations, and Beyond
The poll underscores that affordability and the cost of living remain paramount, with 36% of voters identifying these issues as their top priority. Notably, both the Liberals and Conservatives are tied when it comes to addressing these concerns. However, voters overwhelmingly favor the Liberals on handling U.S. relations—outpacing the Conservatives by a striking 40 points.
This shift comes as escalating attacks from U.S. President Donald Trump—who has launched a trade war and threatened to make Canada the 51st U.S. state—have thrust international relations into the spotlight. Among older Canadians aged 55 and over, the U.S. issue has emerged as a dominant factor, further bolstering Carney’s standing in the polls.
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Regional Dynamics and Party Fortunes
Regional support remains a key differentiator in these federal election polls. While the Conservatives see stronger backing in the Prairie provinces of Alberta, Saskatchewan, and Manitoba, the Liberals and Carney are riding high in Ontario, Quebec, British Columbia, and Atlantic Canada. Additionally, the poll highlights that support for smaller parties is shifting: the New Democrats have slipped to 9%, and the Bloc Quebecois and People’s Party of Canada have seen declines in their national support figures.
Overall, the latest canada election polls suggest that the Liberals’ resurgence has bolstered their overall standing. Meanwhile, Canadian voters remain divided on whether the current government should secure a fourth term. With half of the respondents favoring a change in leadership, political strategists from both camps are closely monitoring these trends as the campaign progresses.
What’s Next for Federal Election Polls?
With the election scheduled for April 28, the evolving dynamics in these federal election polls will be crucial in shaping the final weeks of the campaign. As voter concerns continue to center on economic issues, healthcare, housing, and U.S. relations, both the Liberals and Conservatives are recalibrating their strategies to win over undecided voters and solidify their base.
The current polling data not only offers a snapshot of today’s political landscape. But also sets the stage for what promises to be one of the most closely watched contests in recent Canadian history. Stay tuned for further updates as we continue to track these developing trends in federal election polls.
Keep up with Truths and News (TNN) for the latest, in-depth analysis on canada federal election polls, campaign strategies, and electoral dynamics. Follow TNN for expert coverage on everything from polls canada liberals conservatives to insights on the 2025 canada federal election polls and beyond.
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